Risks of World War III in 2026 and Bitcoin’s Possible Response: 4 AIs Speculate

“In a WW3 scenario, BTC may crash first due to panic selling, but later rise like a phoenix from the ashes,” Perplexity predicted.

The USA started a military operation in Venezuela, after which the leader of the South American country, Nicolas Maduro, and his wife were arrested and taken to the States. POTUS has been insisting on the annexation of Greenland, which has caused a lot of controversy between the US and other NATO members. The USA has warned Iran of a possible war over its nuclear program, while the Asian country said it was ready to retaliate and refused to negotiate under pressure. And it’s only January…

The conflicts around the world since the beginning of the year, as well as the war between Ukraine and Russia, which has been going on since 2022, have raised fears that the Third World War may be knocking on the door. We asked four of the most popular AI-powered chatbots whether such an event could happen this year and how Bitcoin (BTC) might respond.

Global Landscape Feels Like a ‘Tinderbox’

According to ChatGPT, World War III is unlikely to happen in 2026. At the same time, however, he noted that many nations around the world have confronted each other, which means that more conflicts (with the exception of the Russia/Ukraine one) would not surprise us.

The chatbot says that the probability of a war between NATO and Russia this year, an outcome that could be dangerous for the world and humanity, is less than 4%. If the worst case scenario becomes reality, Bitcoin (BTC) will likely crash more than 50% immediately after the news. However, in the coming weeks, ChatGPT expects assets to be restored, especially if banking institutions and fiat currencies are heavily affected.

“Bitcoin can do well in a world war if banks fail and fiat money is banned, because it allows people to store and move value without relying on the traditional financial system. After the initial panic and sales, the demand may rise as people look for another way to prevent money from failing,” he added.

Google’s Gemini also doubts that a world war could break out before the end of 2026, although it notes that the global situation feels more like a “tinderbox” than at any time in the 21st century.

It is estimated that the next big war will probably include nuclear weapons and large-scale weapons, which can shock and kill, and many financial assets will be left behind as people will think mainly about their physical survival. Under these conditions, BTC will likely lose its appeal as a short-term investment, with its usefulness depending on the internet and energy infrastructure remaining intact.

BTC Will Rise Like A Phoenix From The Ashes

Grok, a chatbot integrated into X, doubts that World War III will happen this year. The likely scenario for BTC if such a thing happens is a 20-30% dip, followed by an accelerated recovery and price recovery.

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The confusion asserted that the risk of world war is very low, reminding how cryptocurrency often reacts to military conflicts. Initially, there may be a double-digit decline, while later interest may increase significantly, which may lead to a large price rally.

“In a WW3 scenario, BTC may initially crash heavily in fear-mongering, but later rise like a phoenix from the ashes as it gains strength as a hedge against fiat devaluation and global sanctions,” it predicted.