This Analyst Called The Bitcoin Price Crash Over The Last 4 Months, But There’s More
Months ago, a prominent crypto analyst described the precise window in which the The price of Bitcoin could enter a violent phase. At the time, the speculation seemed extreme. Now, as price behavior begins to align with that road map, the analyst has issued a more expansive update – not only that. reinforces the crash call but also map out what comes before and after the next big pivot.
Bitcoin Price Multi-Cycle Model Signals Structural Reset
In the update shared for X, the analyst combines annual, monthly, and weekly cycles to define both the potential size of the decline and the timing of the next pivot. In the seasonBitcoin is sitting in what he calls the most dangerous area ahead of the proposed pivot around February 2. The structure is translated to the left by the price action spread – the structure connected late cycle weakness.
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You compare the current setting with the previous harmonic section there Bitcoin is down almost 50% from its all-time high before reaching the same pivot window. That decline produced a rebound of about 40% but failed to reach a new high, suggesting that February’s pivot may have brought relief rather than an extension. He also points to a window of high risk from April to September 2026.
In the monthly cycle, the analyst marks the decisive pivot around December 22. Historical declines in the same harmonics were 56%, 77%, and 34%, depending on the context of the cycle. The 77% decline occurred during the bear market, while the 34% recovery formed the central bull cycle. Upside rebounds range between 140% and 375%, with a later expansion of 158%, which shows that the monthly harmonics often hold very sharp price releases.
On a weekly basisthe near-term pivot appears around November 19. Past pullbacks ranged from 20% to 34%, followed by upward extensions of 99%, 96%, 95%, 127%, and 69%, providing smart signals that traders can rely on for short-term corrections within the broader trend.
More: Refined Crash Targets and Bottom Window
In addition to confirming the initial crash call, the analyst improves the lateral direction by synchronizing all three cycles. When the harmonics coincide, the flexibility and importance of the pivot increases. While full declines range from 20%–77%, he puts the potential declines at 34%–55% from the highs, he notes. deep bear market conditions they have not been confirmed.
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November’s weekly pivot appears too early macro bottom, with high time pressure it may push for a real pivot in January. A dead cat bounce in late November may precede another decline. Key levels: $90,000 (~30% down) in November, $72,000 (~43% below high) in January, with additional support at $45,000 and $28,000 if sales strengthen.
The analyst is always on guardwe note that the last harmonic of the annual comparable has grown by 40% without exceeding the high level, with the same limits expected before the risk window of May–September 2026. However, while his four-month crash call was held, he believes that Bitcoin’s path is far from over—investors should prepare for further irregularities and multi-stage recoveries that form the next major cycle.
The featured image was created with Dall.E, a chart from Tradingview.com
