Is XRP at Risk of Falling Below $1?

“Our long-term target is $0.9000,” said one analyst.

Ripple’s XRP has registered a slight increase over the past week, coinciding with the revival of the broader cryptocurrency market.

However, some analysts believe that its price may drop significantly in the near future and even fall below the psychological level of $1.

A New Pullback Ahead?

Earlier this week, XRP tried to recover the $1.50 mark but failed and is now trading around $1.39 (according to CoinGecko data). The asset’s market capitalization is around 85 billion, making it the fourth largest cryptocurrency, behind BTC, ETH, and USDT.

One person who has been closely monitoring its performance is user X TradingShot. In their view, XRP has been moving through a downward channel throughout its bear cycle, which, according to the chart, began in July 2025 – shortly after the price peaked above $3.65.

TradingShot noted that a major decline in February this year reached the previous goal in the 1W MA200, suggesting that the next pullback of the commodity may lead to a further decline in the support of the 1M MA100, which is placed below $0.90.

“This level is important as it made the June 2022 bottom of the previous Bear Cycle. Our long-term target is $0.9000,” concluded user X.

WealthManager X user also presented a bearish forecast. They believe that XRP appears to be “very risky” at the moment, warning that “a major decline may be imminent.”

Meanwhile, prominent Bitcoin teacher and lawyer Adam Livingston spoke out against Ripple’s native cryptocurrency. He said he would rather have $100,000 in refund requests from FTX customers than $100,000 in XRP.

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“At least the SBF could send a heartfelt apology to the prison before he dies of old age,” added Livingston.

Bullish Scenario

Despite the pessimistic views expressed by some on XRP, many indicators suggest that its price may soon head north. Many market observers have indicated that large investors have bought approximately 4.2 billion tokens (worth 5.7 billion dollars at current prices) since the October 10 crash.

This development reduces the number of XRP tokens available on the open market, and economic principles dictate that the valuation should increase if demand does not decrease. In addition, this shows that whales are confident about the asset and view low prices as an opportunity, a signal that can encourage smaller players to follow.

XRP exchange Netflow is next on the list. Over the past few weeks, cash outflows have been outpacing inflows, indicating that investors are moving away from holdings on central bases and holding hands. This shift reduces the amount of coins immediately available for sale, reducing short-term selling pressure.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the asset should also be mentioned. It dropped to around 30 on the weekly scale, marking an oversold area that can sometimes be a prelude to a rally. On the other hand, rates above 70 are considered bearish.