Is the $71K Pump a Bull Trap? Why Analysts Call for a $50K Bitcoin Crash

Can BTC fall to $45,000 in the next 10 days?

The main cryptocurrency is back in the green, rising above $71,000 following Donald Trump’s recent comments that the war in Iran may end.

However, this could represent a classic “dead-cat bounce” as many analysts believe the bear market is far from over.

‘Flush is coming’

Despite rising 7% last week and regaining the $70,000 level, BTC is down 45% from its all-time high of around $126,000 recorded in October 2025, a clear indication that the commodity remains in a broad bear market.

Many industry stakeholders think the bottom is yet to be built. Bee users IX, for example, described the recent resurgence as “getting money before the next dump,” envisioning a drop to $50,000 in the second half of the year.

Leshka.eth and Mr. Crypto Whale also made bearish predictions. The former recalled that every bear market in history has seen at least a 78% drop from the high, saying “the flush is imminent.”

Mr. Crypto Whale argued that BTC may be entering its final phase of accumulation. Based on their chart forecast, the price may reach $45,000 in the next 10 days before reversing course.

“If that situation is seen, volatility will increase, and weak hands will be shaken. Make sure you are prepared for both directions. Great opportunities often arise when the market creates great fear,” they added.

Popular commentator Ali Martinez offered his two cents, too. He compared the decline of BTC to that of 2022, thinking that the valuation could crash below $32,000 during this cycle.

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BTC ‘Will Scare Everyone?’

Of course, there are those who suggest that the commodity may be ready for a price explosion rather than a further pullback. X User Crypto Fergani thinks BTC will “shock everyone” this cycle, envisioning a rise to new highs. According to the analyst, other factors that may drive the pump include “dying” fiat, “unpayable” debt, more money printing, and the involvement of large institutions such as BlackRock.

“It’s only a matter of time before crypto does what it always does next. Crypto doesn’t need your belief to take over,” they said.

Merlijn The Trader and Michael van de Poppe are in again. The former argued that quantitative easing had just ended, noting that the last time the Fed made such a pivot, BTC gained more than 2,000%. It is worth mentioning that the end of the official QT was widely determined to be the beginning of December, 2025.

Michael van de Poppe believes this latest surge could be followed by a further jump to $75,000, and then a spike to around $80,000 sometime this month.