Bitcoin Price Uses The Same Playbook That Led To 400% Surges But There’s A Catch

If history repeats itself, bitcoin could easily surpass $300,000.

The famous analyst Merlijn The Trader explained in a recent post on X that the current setup of bitcoin is similar, to a large extent, to its market behavior towards the end of 2022 when the asset actually rose by three digits from bottom to top.

In order to have a theoretical chance of doing so, however, Merlijn outlined a key level that BTC must maintain.

385% Surgery Done?

His analysis noted that bitcoin has already used this playbook in the past three years, which is reflected in the downward pressure and sweeping currency purchases. He believes that this setup will catch the sellers late and the BTC price will eventually pull back when it ends.

Merlijn explained that the last time this happened, the price of BTC rose from $15,000 to $73,000. A similar price increase of 385% would send the cryptocurrency flying above $300,000.

Obviously, such a situation is difficult to see now and it may sound like it is easy, but Merlijn showed that BTC can dominate a very impressive rally as long as it holds the key level of $ 65,000. If it doesn’t, it will proceed to the money laundering stage.

BITCIN CONTINUES THE SAME PLAYBOOK AS OF NOVEMBER 2022.

Pressure drop. Sweep to buy liquidity.
Catch sellers late. Then step back.

Last time this was resolved: BTC went from $15K to $73K.

Hold $65K: base is complete.
Lost: money laundering continues.

The market is hunting for liquidity… pic.twitter.com/BDPICGhWYS

— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) March 14, 2026

He doubled down in subsequent posts that the entire BTC cycle had started with a bear trap. In previous examples, such as the big run in 2013, 2016, and 2020, the price gains were very impressive – 24,000%, 6,300%, and 842%, respectively.

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The analyst noted that the pattern does not change as fear is always the first stage of the meeting. And, as reported recently, fear has dominated the crypto market for several months in a row.

The Bear Cycle

Meanwhile, Doctor Profit, among the most well-known crypto analysts who have been calling this correction for months, acknowledged the recent BTC pump at $74,000. However, he asserted that this is likely to be a temporary move, before we “see another downside” to the new cuts.

The cryptocurrency was really rejected at $74,000 for the second time in the last 10 days or so, and now it is difficult to stay above $70,000.

#Bitcoin rising fast and strong, just as predicted. Expect more moves before we see another drop to a new low. For now, let’s enjoy together a fake pump that will last for a few weeks!

– Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 (@DrProfitCrypto) March 13, 2026